Skip navigation
User training | Reference and search service

Library catalog

EDS
b-on
More
resources
Content aggregators
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:

acessibilidade

http://hdl.handle.net/10071/9491
Full metadata record
acessibilidade
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorMadureira, N. L.-
dc.date.accessioned2015-07-30T11:16:46Z-
dc.date.available2015-07-30T11:16:46Z-
dc.date.issued2014-
dc.identifier.issn0172-6404-
dc.identifier.urihttps://ciencia.iscte-iul.pt/public/pub/id/19927-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10071/9491-
dc.descriptionWOS:000343528000004 (Nº de Acesso Web of Science)-
dc.description.abstractA global economic crisis is the most difficult kind of event to predict. This article asks a straightforward question: did anyone come close to anticipating the oil crisis of 1973/74, which represented a new type of historical sequence? Was the likelihood of an oil shock self-evident at the time? To answer this, I examine the degree of awareness in Europe and the United States of the three possible triggering factors: Egypt’s disposition to start a war and enlist the support of oil-producers; the Arab interest in oil conservation and long-term income maximization; and the imbalance in the oil market and the delayed adjustment of oil prices. For each of these topics, I set out both what was expected and what was actually in the offing; the information available to Western analysts and that unknown; the communication noises and the flagrant bias. The conclusion pays tribute to three men – James Akins, Pierre Wack, and Ted Newland – who had guessed what was coming ahead, and explains why their predictions almost succeeded, while others failed.por
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.publisherZentrum fur Historische Sozialforschung e.Vpor
dc.rightsopenAccesspor
dc.subjectEnergy crisispor
dc.titleWaiting for the energy crisis: Europe and the United States on the eve of the first oil shockpor
dc.typearticlepor
dc.pagination70-93en_US
dc.peerreviewedSimpor
dc.relation.publisherversion(© 2014, Nuno L. Madureira) http://www.gesis.org/en/hsr/current-issues/current-issues/394-energy-crises/-
dc.journalHistorical Social Research/ Historische Sozialforschungen_US
dc.volume39en_US
dc.number4en_US
degois.publication.firstPage70por
degois.publication.lastPage93por
degois.publication.issue4por
degois.publication.titleHistorical Social Research/ Historische Sozialforschungpor
dc.date.updated2015-07-30T11:13:38Z-
dc.identifier.doi10.12759/hsr.39.2014.4.70-93-
Appears in Collections:DH-RI - Artigos em revistas científicas internacionais com arbitragem científica

Files in This Item:
acessibilidade
File Description SizeFormat 
publisher_version_HSR_39_4_Madureira.pdf678.96 kBAdobe PDFView/Open


FacebookTwitterDeliciousLinkedInDiggGoogle BookmarksMySpace
Formato BibTex MendeleyEndnote Currículo DeGóis 

Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.